Trade outcomes,
not options.

You already know what you think will happen. "Apple above $220 by December." Outcome Markets turns that view into a structured contract with a clear payoff. No Greeks. No margin calls. No multi-leg execution.

Above Level Contract Live Example
AAPL above $220
Expires Dec 19, 2026 · NASDAQ: AAPL
$0 Cost 140% $220 Stock Price at Expiry Capital at risk 140% payout
140%
If Above
68%
Probability
-100%
Max Loss
How It Works

From market view to structured payoff in three steps.

You express an opinion. We handle the derivatives engineering. Every contract shows you exactly what you stand to gain or lose before you commit a dollar.

01

Pick an outcome

Choose a stock and express your view. Above a price, within a range, or protected against downside. Simple language, no jargon.

02

See the payoff

Get a clear diagram showing your potential profit, maximum loss, and probability estimate. Everything transparent before you commit.

03

Commit capital

Enter the contract. The platform automatically structures the optimal options position to deliver your payoff. You wait for the outcome date.

Contract Types

Three ways to express your view.

Each contract type maps to a different market thesis. Pick the one that matches what you believe will happen.

Above Level
"Apple above $220 by Dec"
You believe the stock will be above a specific price by the expiration date. If you're right, you receive a fixed payout. If wrong, your committed capital is at risk.
If true 140% payout
Range
"Tesla stays $180–$250 by Mar"
You believe the stock will remain within a defined range. Ideal for sideways markets. Higher payouts for tighter ranges.
If in range 180% payout
Downside Buffer
"Nvidia won't fall below $400"
You believe the stock won't crash past a floor price. Earn a premium for providing downside protection. Lower risk, steady returns.
If holds 115% payout

Institutional derivatives engineering.
Consumer-grade simplicity.

The options market processes trillions in volume. Most of it is inaccessible to ordinary investors. Outcome Markets opens that door. Not by dumbing it down, but by translating complexity into clarity. Every contract backed by real options strategies. Every payoff fully transparent.